Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.005320 0.005620 0.005930 0.006275 0.006649 0.007044 0.007493
2025-12-14 0.004804 0.005239 0.005710 0.006261 0.006890 0.007591 0.008436
2025-12-21 0.004362 0.004852 0.005398 0.006057 0.006836 0.007736 0.008867
2025-12-28 0.004146 0.004689 0.005309 0.006076 0.007012 0.008129 0.009585
2026-01-04 0.004001 0.004590 0.005277 0.006148 0.007239 0.008581 0.010394
2026-01-11 0.003819 0.004433 0.005161 0.006102 0.007307 0.008829 0.010948
2026-01-18 0.003678 0.004314 0.005080 0.006090 0.007409 0.009117 0.011564
2026-01-25 0.003534 0.004183 0.004976 0.006036 0.007449 0.009318 0.012068
2026-02-01 0.003482 0.004162 0.005007 0.006156 0.007720 0.009840 0.013057
2026-02-08 0.003373 0.004064 0.004932 0.006130 0.007789 0.010082 0.013654
2026-02-15 0.003282 0.003985 0.004877 0.006125 0.007882 0.010360 0.014320
2026-02-22 0.003166 0.003867 0.004766 0.006038 0.007852 0.010456 0.014706
2026-03-01 0.003059 0.003759 0.004665 0.005961 0.007836 0.010572 0.015140
2026-03-08 0.002983 0.003690 0.004614 0.005950 0.007913 0.010832 0.015827
2026-03-15 0.002847 0.003536 0.004441 0.005760 0.007716 0.010658 0.015771
2026-03-22 0.002794 0.003490 0.004415 0.005778 0.007828 0.010969 0.016568
2026-03-29 0.002760 0.003471 0.004423 0.005845 0.008016 0.011412 0.017632
2026-04-05 0.002692 0.003401 0.004359 0.005802 0.008032 0.011574 0.018203
2026-04-12 0.002638 0.003349 0.004318 0.005791 0.008096 0.011816 0.018942
2026-04-19 0.002574 0.003282 0.004253 0.005741 0.008095 0.011949 0.019481
2026-04-26 0.002563 0.003289 0.004293 0.005852 0.008358 0.012548 0.020995
2026-05-03 0.002513 0.003238 0.004248 0.005829 0.008398 0.012759 0.021746
2026-05-10 0.002470 0.003197 0.004215 0.005824 0.008469 0.013027 0.022641